Sarnese vs Picerno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
52.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SSE
3 - 0
SAR
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SAR
0 - 1
NFR
40%
25%
35%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
POM
1 - 1
SAR
46%
25%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
RAA
1 - 2
SAR
46%
26%
28%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SAR
0 - 0
AUD
12%
17%
71%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PIC
4 - 1
RAA
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
RPO
4 - 0
PIC
70%
19%
12%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
PIC
3 - 1
TUR
62%
21%
16%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
PIC
1 - 2
ASD
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 0
PIC
26%
23%
51%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |