Sarnese vs Palmese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
52%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+146%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
REN
4 - 0
SAR
70%
19%
11%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 1
GLA
47%
23%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
FCI
2 - 1
SAR
77%
16%
8%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
GEL
1 - 1
SAR
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SAR
4 - 0
ASS
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Palmese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 0
ASS
85%
10%
4%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 1
CAV
24%
24%
52%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 2
PAL
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 4
USC
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
NFR
1 - 0
PAL
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |