Sarnese vs Palmese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
SCO
2 - 1
SAR
24%
23%
53%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
GRA
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
NFR
4 - 1
SAR
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 0
USV
37%
28%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SIR
3 - 0
SAR
79%
15%
6%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Palmese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 2
RAA
24%
23%
53%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
DTO
0 - 0
PAL
56%
23%
21%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 1
GEL
37%
25%
38%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
NOT
1 - 1
PAL
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 1
REG
18%
20%
63%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |