Sarnese vs Nerostellati Frattese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
USV
1 - 1
SAR
32%
27%
42%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 0
SIR
17%
24%
59%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
5 - 0
SAR
23%
24%
54%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SAR
3 - 2
REN
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
VIG
1 - 1
SAR
24%
26%
50%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Nerostellati Frattese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
NFR
1 - 0
RAA
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
DTO
1 - 0
NFR
36%
26%
38%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
NFR
6 - 0
GEL
66%
18%
16%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
NOT
1 - 1
NFR
30%
23%
48%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
NFR
2 - 1
REG
38%
24%
37%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |