Sarnese vs Gravina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
54.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
SAR
0 - 1
POM
57%
23%
20%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ASD
4 - 1
SAR
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
FIA
3 - 0
SAR
74%
18%
8%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SAR
0 - 1
ASF
29%
22%
49%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SOR
1 - 1
SAR
59%
22%
19%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Gravina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
ASF
1 - 1
FBC
52%
21%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
FBC
4 - 1
FIA
19%
25%
56%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +5 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
HYR
2 - 1
FBC
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
FBC
1 - 1
GRA
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
FCS
3 - 1
FBC
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |