Sarnese vs Audace Cerignola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
58.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
GEL
0 - 1
SAR
65%
21%
14%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SAR
0 - 0
USB
19%
20%
62%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
NAR
0 - 0
SAR
67%
20%
13%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 3
TAR
19%
22%
59%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FBC
2 - 1
SAR
63%
19%
17%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Audace Cerignola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
AUD
1 - 0
GRA
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 0
AUD
39%
22%
38%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
AUD
1 - 1
TAR
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
USB
3 - 1
AUD
45%
22%
34%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
AUD
1 - 1
SOR
72%
16%
13%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |