Sarnese vs As Sersale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
9.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 2
CAV
15%
22%
63%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
NFR
0 - 0
SAR
84%
10%
6%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 1
ROC
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
GRA
3 - 1
SAR
53%
22%
24%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 1
USC
65%
19%
17%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
As Sersale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 1
ROC
12%
18%
70%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
USC
2 - 1
ASS
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 0
NFR
8%
15%
77%
|
14 | 42 | 28 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
DTO
2 - 1
ASS
73%
18%
9%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ASS
3 - 3
GRA
10%
17%
73%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | +1 |