Sarnese vs Anzio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
44.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
12º
5º
30
1º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 66 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 63 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 60 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 55 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 53 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 49 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 48 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 45 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 44 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 44 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 44 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 41 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 41 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 37 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 36 |
16º
|
21% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 32 |
17º
|
25.5% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 30 |
18º
|
41% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
55.5% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
43% | 70.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
AUR
2 - 0
SAR
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 1
ULD
52%
22%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PUT
0 - 0
SAR
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 1
GEL
34%
27%
39%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 1
TCA
46%
21%
33%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Anzio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ANZ
1 - 0
FCS
30%
27%
43%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TCA
0 - 2
ANZ
51%
21%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ANZ
2 - 1
OLB
25%
25%
50%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CSO
1 - 2
ANZ
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ANZ
1 - 3
PAG
21%
24%
55%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |