Sarnen vs Taverne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
FCA
2 - 1
SAR
41%
24%
35%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
SAR
5 - 1
GOL
47%
23%
30%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
ESC
2 - 0
SAR
23%
23%
54%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
SAR
2 - 0
BAL
86%
10%
4%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
FCM
0 - 0
SAR
52%
23%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Taverne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
TAV
0 - 0
LUZ
56%
21%
23%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
HER
4 - 1
TAV
51%
23%
26%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
TAV
0 - 4
SIO
9%
16%
76%
|
25 | 77 | 52 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
TAV
3 - 4
FCS
57%
22%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
EMM
0 - 2
TAV
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |