Sarnen vs Ruswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 1
ESC
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
BUO
6 - 2
SAR
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 3
ZOF
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
KUS
0 - 2
SAR
25%
22%
53%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 2
HER
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ruswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
RUS
2 - 1
HOC
20%
20%
60%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ESC
0 - 1
RUS
75%
15%
10%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
RUS
5 - 2
MAL
47%
22%
31%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BUO
7 - 0
RUS
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
RUS
0 - 0
GUN
17%
19%
64%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +1 |