Sarnen vs Ruswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
26%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ASC
2 - 0
SAR
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
GUN
2 - 1
SAR
25%
22%
52%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 0
GOL
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
LUZ
1 - 1
SAR
21%
22%
57%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SAR
2 - 0
IBA
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ruswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
RUS
3 - 0
LUZ
66%
18%
15%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
FCS
1 - 1
RUS
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
RUS
2 - 4
ASC
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
IBA
1 - 2
RUS
44%
23%
33%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
GOL
4 - 1
RUS
47%
23%
31%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -2 |