Sarnen vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
22%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BUO
1 - 2
SAR
69%
18%
14%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SAR
1 - 5
ESC
55%
21%
25%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
EMM
4 - 3
SAR
47%
23%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SAR
2 - 0
FCB
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 1
SAR
22%
21%
56%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
GOL
3 - 2
IBA
43%
24%
33%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
IBA
2 - 1
ASC
45%
24%
32%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
IBA
2 - 1
LUZ
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
FCS
3 - 1
IBA
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
GUN
0 - 1
IBA
32%
23%
45%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |