Sarnen vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
TAV
1 - 2
SAR
32%
24%
44%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SAR
1 - 0
FCA
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
GOL
2 - 1
SAR
48%
23%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SAR
4 - 0
ESC
57%
21%
23%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 3
SAR
18%
21%
60%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
IBA
3 - 1
LUZ
59%
21%
20%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
HER
3 - 0
IBA
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
IBA
2 - 0
FCS
44%
24%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
EMM
1 - 1
IBA
47%
23%
30%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
IBA
2 - 1
LSS
33%
24%
44%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |