Sarnen vs Gunzwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
16.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
SAR
2 - 1
WIL
78%
13%
9%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
HER
0 - 2
SAR
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SAR
3 - 4
BUO
23%
21%
56%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
TAV
1 - 0
SAR
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SAR
4 - 0
RUS
53%
21%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Gunzwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
WIL
5 - 2
GUN
25%
22%
53%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
GUN
2 - 0
EMM
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
HER
3 - 2
GUN
57%
21%
23%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
GUN
1 - 1
HOC
54%
22%
25%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BUO
2 - 0
GUN
76%
14%
10%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |