Sarnen vs Goldau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
73.4%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
SAR
55%
20%
24%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 3
BRU
47%
21%
32%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ASC
1 - 0
SAR
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 1
NOV
42%
21%
37%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
IBA
0 - 0
SAR
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
GOL
0 - 1
ESC
87%
9%
5%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
GOL
4 - 0
HOC
90%
7%
3%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FCA
1 - 1
GOL
10%
13%
76%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
LUG
0 - 4
GOL
21%
20%
59%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
PER
2 - 6
GOL
16%
17%
67%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +2 |