Sarnen vs Goldau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
47.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
ASC
0 - 2
SAR
42%
23%
36%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 2
RUS
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 1
ESC
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
BUO
6 - 2
SAR
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 3
ZOF
33%
23%
44%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2015 |
GOL
8 - 1
ESC
79%
14%
8%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
BUO
6 - 1
GOL
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
GOL
3 - 1
ZOF
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
KUS
3 - 2
GOL
12%
17%
71%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
GOL
2 - 1
HER
73%
15%
11%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |