Sarnen vs Goldau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
34.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
ESC
2 - 1
SAR
26%
24%
50%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
SAR
4 - 1
GUN
66%
18%
16%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
SAR
2 - 1
WIL
78%
13%
9%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
HER
0 - 2
SAR
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SAR
3 - 4
BUO
23%
21%
56%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
GOL
2 - 1
WIL
80%
12%
7%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
HER
3 - 2
GOL
38%
24%
38%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
GOL
2 - 1
BUO
28%
22%
50%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
TAV
5 - 3
GOL
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
GOL
4 - 1
RUS
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |