Sarnen vs Buochs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
57.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ZOF
3 - 0
SAR
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SAR
3 - 0
KUS
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
HER
2 - 1
SAR
53%
23%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 0
IBA
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
HOC
0 - 4
SAR
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BUO
1 - 0
YOB
8%
15%
77%
|
33 | 81 | 48 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
RUS
0 - 4
BUO
13%
16%
70%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ZOF
2 - 5
BUO
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
HER
1 - 0
BUO
28%
22%
50%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
BUO
6 - 0
KUS
87%
9%
4%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |