Sarnen vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
18.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
RUS
2 - 3
SAR
24%
22%
55%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ESC
3 - 1
SAR
33%
25%
42%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 0
BUO
22%
20%
57%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ZOF
3 - 0
SAR
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SAR
3 - 0
KUS
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BUO
1 - 0
ASC
77%
14%
10%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ASC
0 - 1
ZOF
28%
22%
50%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
KUS
0 - 0
ASC
21%
22%
57%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ASC
1 - 3
HER
39%
22%
39%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
IBA
2 - 0
ASC
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |