Sarmiento vs Villa San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
14.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2013 |
BAN
3 - 0
SAR
63%
23%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 0
HUR
39%
28%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
IRV
3 - 1
SAR
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SAR
0 - 0
ATT
44%
29%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ALD
0 - 0
SAR
42%
27%
30%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
DHA
1 - 1
VSC
57%
26%
17%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
VSC
0 - 3
BAN
17%
26%
57%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
HUR
1 - 0
VSC
68%
21%
11%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
VSC
0 - 1
IRV
25%
28%
47%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2013 |
ATT
2 - 2
VSC
73%
18%
9%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |