Sarmiento vs Villa Dálmine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
SAR
3 - 0
DHA
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
DAL
1 - 0
SAR
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
SAR
0 - 1
ALM
61%
23%
15%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
SMA
2 - 0
SAR
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SAR
2 - 1
INS
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Villa Dálmine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2020 |
RIE
1 - 1
DAL
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
DAL
1 - 0
SAR
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
GIM
3 - 1
DAL
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ALM
0 - 0
DAL
36%
29%
35%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
DAL
1 - 2
SMA
20%
26%
54%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |