Sarmiento vs San Martín San Juan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
25.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
LAN
2 - 0
SAR
47%
27%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
SAR
0 - 0
GOD
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
IND
2 - 1
SAR
42%
29%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 1
SAR
46%
28%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 1
DYJ
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
SMA
0 - 0
CEN
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
RIE
0 - 0
SMA
46%
28%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SMA
0 - 1
ATT
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
GIM
0 - 2
SMA
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 0
CHI
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |