Sarmiento vs Sacachispas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.1%
3-0
14%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
4.4%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
RAF
2 - 3
SAR
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 3
PAT
51%
28%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
VEL
5 - 1
SAR
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 0
BRO
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 0
DYJ
29%
29%
42%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
TAL
0 - 1
SAC
72%
18%
11%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
SAC
0 - 0
CCO
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2017 |
LAF
1 - 0
SAC
18%
22%
60%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
SAC
3 - 1
JJU
75%
16%
10%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
DOC
2 - 2
SAC
15%
21%
63%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -1 |