Sarmiento vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
19.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
DEF
3 - 0
SAR
23%
28%
49%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 1
TIG
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
BRO
1 - 1
SAR
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SAR
5 - 1
CHA
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
RIE
2 - 2
SAR
24%
28%
48%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
QUI
1 - 2
DAL
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
ALM
2 - 1
QUI
41%
30%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
QUI
1 - 4
SMA
31%
28%
41%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
INS
1 - 1
QUI
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
QUI
0 - 0
RSA
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |