Sarmiento vs Patronato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
25.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ATT
0 - 1
SAR
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
SAR
0 - 3
OLI
32%
29%
38%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
SAR
2 - 0
BAN
35%
29%
36%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 1
SAR
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2013 |
HUR
1 - 0
SAR
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2013 |
PAT
1 - 2
MER
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 0
PAT
60%
25%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
PAT
2 - 3
GLP
41%
29%
31%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
SUA
2 - 2
PAT
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ALD
0 - 0
PAT
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |