Sarmiento vs Nueva Chicago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
23.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
HUR
3 - 0
SAR
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 1
EST
34%
29%
37%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
SMA
0 - 1
SAR
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 1
DYJ
39%
28%
34%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 0
SAR
47%
28%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CHI
5 - 0
NOB
28%
30%
42%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
VEL
1 - 2
CHI
63%
23%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
3 - 1
ALD
28%
28%
44%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
IND
2 - 1
CHI
69%
20%
11%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 2
ARG
35%
30%
34%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |