Sarmiento vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
38.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 0
SAR
58%
25%
17%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 1
EST
24%
27%
49%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 1
SAR
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 2
CAU
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 1
TEM
61%
22%
18%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
NOB
2 - 0
MID
78%
17%
5%
|
86 | 44 | 42 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
NOB
0 - 0
PLA
47%
27%
26%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GOD
1 - 1
NOB
49%
26%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
NOB
1 - 0
TIG
46%
27%
27%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
NOB
2 - 2
SLO
40%
31%
29%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |