Sarmiento vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
37.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MER
2 - 3
SAR
41%
29%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SAR
0 - 1
CEN
27%
29%
45%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 0
GLP
33%
30%
37%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ALM
2 - 0
SAR
45%
27%
29%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 1
SAR
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
INS
2 - 3
ALM
47%
30%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2013 |
MER
1 - 1
INS
28%
28%
43%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
INS
0 - 0
IRV
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
INS
1 - 1
IRV
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
INS
2 - 2
BEL
32%
29%
39%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |