Sarmiento vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
19.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 0
SAR
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SAR
2 - 2
FER
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2019 |
BRO
0 - 3
SAR
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
SAR
0 - 2
ALB
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
SAR
0 - 0
QUI
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
GBR
2 - 1
QUI
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
IRV
1 - 0
GBR
46%
29%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
GBR
3 - 1
MOR
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
3 - 1
GBR
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
GBR
3 - 0
MIT
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |