Sarmiento vs Flandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
13%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
MER
2 - 1
SAR
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ACA
0 - 2
SAR
28%
29%
44%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
SAR
0 - 0
AND
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
EST
0 - 1
SAR
52%
25%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SAR
2 - 2
BRO
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Flandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 2
MOR
40%
31%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
PLA
2 - 2
FLA
64%
23%
14%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 0
DEF
39%
31%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
TEM
2 - 0
FLA
38%
29%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 0
ALM
34%
30%
37%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |