Sarmiento vs Douglas Haig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
28.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
VSC
1 - 3
SAR
26%
29%
46%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
SAR
0 - 0
BAN
27%
27%
46%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
HUR
3 - 1
SAR
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 1
IRV
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
ATT
1 - 0
SAR
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
DHA
4 - 1
DYJ
26%
28%
46%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
VSC
0 - 2
DHA
26%
28%
46%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2014 |
HUR
2 - 1
DHA
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2014 |
DHA
1 - 2
IND
29%
30%
40%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
BAN
1 - 1
DHA
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |