Sarmiento vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
19.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
SAR
0 - 0
CCS
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
CCS
1 - 1
SAR
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
SAR
2 - 0
IRV
51%
27%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
IRV
0 - 1
SAR
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SAR
0 - 1
BRO
55%
26%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
RSA
0 - 0
DAL
30%
28%
43%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
GIM
3 - 3
RSA
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2019 |
RSA
1 - 1
PLA
37%
31%
32%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
ALM
2 - 0
RSA
48%
28%
24%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
RSA
1 - 2
CCS
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |