Sarmiento vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 0
SAR
47%
28%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
COL
0 - 1
SAR
49%
27%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 1
RAF
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
TEM
0 - 0
SAR
36%
30%
34%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 0
OLI
38%
29%
34%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
DYJ
1 - 0
ARS
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
DYJ
1 - 0
NOB
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
VEL
2 - 1
DYJ
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
DYJ
4 - 0
ALD
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 1
DYJ
21%
24%
56%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |