Sarmiento vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
47.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
SAR
0 - 1
ALB
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAU
0 - 0
SAR
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 1
CDN
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
RSA
0 - 2
SAR
38%
28%
33%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SAR
3 - 2
ATT
45%
29%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
SLO
0 - 1
RIV
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 0
SLO
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BOC
5 - 0
RIV
39%
27%
34%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
RIV
4 - 0
IND
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BOC
1 - 0
RIV
40%
27%
33%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |