Sarmiento vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CCS
3 - 0
SAR
47%
28%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 3
DYJ
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
BOC
1 - 1
SAR
57%
26%
17%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
TIG
0 - 0
SAR
50%
27%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 0
SAR
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
LAN
3 - 0
PLA
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
GOD
1 - 0
LAN
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 2
NOB
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 2
LAN
50%
26%
25%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
LAN
58%
23%
20%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |