Sarmiento vs Brown Adrogué analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 0
DYJ
29%
29%
42%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
SMA
4 - 2
SAR
58%
25%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 4
TAL
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2017 |
PAT
2 - 2
SAR
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2017 |
BAN
2 - 0
SAR
68%
20%
11%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
DHA
1 - 2
BRO
38%
29%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
BRO
0 - 1
CSE
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
CDN
1 - 1
BRO
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2017 |
BRO
2 - 2
SMA
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 2
BRO
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |