Sarmiento vs Barracas Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
28.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
BEL
4 - 1
SAR
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 1
LAN
37%
27%
37%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CCS
3 - 0
SAR
47%
28%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 3
DYJ
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
BOC
1 - 1
SAR
57%
26%
17%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 1
TAL
28%
26%
46%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 0
BAR
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
ATT
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
RIE
0 - 1
BAR
33%
29%
38%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 2
RIV
22%
24%
54%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |