Sarmiento vs Almirante Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.9%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
28.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
IRV
1 - 0
SAR
46%
28%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SAR
4 - 3
PAT
46%
29%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ATT
0 - 1
SAR
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
SAR
0 - 3
OLI
32%
29%
38%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
SAR
2 - 0
BAN
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ALM
2 - 0
MER
55%
28%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CEN
0 - 1
ALM
60%
25%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 0
GLP
30%
30%
40%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ALD
4 - 2
ALM
42%
29%
29%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 1
GIM
48%
29%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |