Sarm. Resistencia vs Sportivo Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarm. Resistencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
TEX
1 - 1
SAR
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 0
AHZ
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
SAR
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 0
LIB
28%
26%
46%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
GIM
4 - 2
SAR
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SPA
2 - 2
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
GIM
3 - 1
SPA
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SPA
0 - 0
SLO
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SJO
0 - 0
SPA
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SPA
3 - 0
AMT
83%
12%
5%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |