Sarm. Resistencia vs Sportivo Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
45.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarm. Resistencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 2
GIM
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 1
UNI
24%
25%
51%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MIT
1 - 1
SAR
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 2
SOL
33%
26%
42%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CFE
1 - 1
SAR
61%
22%
18%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 0
UNI
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
SPA
0 - 1
MIT
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SOL
1 - 1
SPA
44%
25%
30%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 1
CFE
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
TEX
0 - 1
SPA
26%
26%
48%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |