Sarm. Resistencia vs Sol de América Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
9.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
6º
7º
45
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarm. Resistencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
SLO
3 - 0
SAR
80%
14%
6%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
BUC
0 - 2
SAR
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
RAC
2 - 0
SAR
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SAR
0 - 0
CIB
53%
27%
20%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
SAR
1 - 0
JUU
61%
24%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sol de América Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 0
CEN
18%
27%
56%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SOL
2 - 1
CAM
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CAA
2 - 1
SOL
31%
23%
46%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SOL
3 - 0
CAA
62%
20%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SOL
2 - 0
GAF
28%
27%
44%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +3 |