Sarm. Resistencia vs Sol de América Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
9.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
6º
7º
45
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarm. Resistencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
SLO
3 - 0
SAR
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
BUC
0 - 2
SAR
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
RAC
2 - 0
SAR
53%
26%
22%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SAR
0 - 0
CIB
53%
27%
20%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
SAR
1 - 0
JUU
61%
24%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sol de América Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 0
CEN
18%
27%
56%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SOL
2 - 1
CAM
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CAA
2 - 1
SOL
31%
23%
46%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SOL
3 - 0
CAA
62%
20%
19%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SOL
2 - 0
GAF
28%
27%
44%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |