Sarm. Resistencia vs Central Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
28.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
6º
7º
49
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarm. Resistencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
9DJ
2 - 1
SAR
20%
27%
53%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 0
SOL
61%
24%
15%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
BUC
1 - 0
SAR
31%
28%
42%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
JAN
0 - 0
SAR
27%
28%
45%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 1
CDN
62%
24%
14%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Central Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
CEN
3 - 2
9DJ
67%
22%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 2
CEN
28%
29%
43%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
BUC
0 - 0
CEN
35%
28%
38%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
CEN
2 - 1
JAN
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
CDN
1 - 2
CEN
25%
29%
47%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |