Sarmiento II vs Newells Old Boys II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
40.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
SLO
6 - 0
SAR
53%
25%
22%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 2
EST
44%
26%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
RAC
0 - 0
SAR
57%
23%
20%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 0
CAU
57%
23%
21%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 3
BRC
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Newells Old Boys II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
NOB
1 - 3
PLA
58%
24%
18%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
GOC
2 - 1
NOB
14%
22%
64%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
NOB
1 - 1
ROC
42%
26%
32%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
NOB
0 - 2
TIG
42%
28%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
NOB
1 - 1
SLO
43%
27%
31%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |