Sarmiento II vs Lanús II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
48.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
HUR
1 - 1
SAR
59%
22%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 1
DYJ
54%
24%
23%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
SAR
60%
23%
18%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 1
PLA
48%
26%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
GOC
0 - 0
SAR
31%
26%
44%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lanús II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
DYJ
4 - 0
LAN
20%
22%
58%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
LAN
4 - 2
GOC
60%
22%
19%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 3
LAN
25%
23%
52%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
LAN
1 - 0
EST
50%
25%
25%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
RAC
4 - 0
LAN
40%
25%
36%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |