Sarmiento II vs Independiente II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
58.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2024 |
GOC
0 - 0
SAR
64%
22%
15%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 1
TIG
26%
27%
47%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 0
SAR
44%
25%
31%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 1
EST
26%
26%
48%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
CCS
1 - 0
SAR
52%
24%
24%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 0
IND
66%
20%
14%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
TIG
0 - 1
IND
41%
27%
33%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
IND
1 - 1
EST
42%
26%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
NOB
0 - 3
IND
36%
26%
37%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
IND
0 - 1
TAL
31%
25%
44%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |