Sarmiento II vs Defensa y Justicia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
31.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
IND
4 - 2
SAR
51%
23%
27%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
SAR
2 - 3
TAL
48%
22%
29%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
BOC
2 - 2
SAR
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
SAR
2 - 1
VEL
34%
23%
43%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2017 |
ATR
1 - 1
SAR
34%
23%
43%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
DYJ
2 - 1
NOB
37%
25%
38%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
GLP
3 - 0
DYJ
39%
25%
36%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
DYJ
0 - 0
PAT
40%
26%
35%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
LAN
1 - 1
DYJ
61%
21%
18%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
DYJ
3 - 3
HUR
40%
26%
34%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |