Sarmiento II vs Aldosivi II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
GLP
2 - 0
SAR
63%
21%
16%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SAR
0 - 2
VEL
31%
25%
45%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
GOC
0 - 2
SAR
34%
25%
41%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
SAR
3 - 1
HUR
21%
24%
55%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
LAN
4 - 0
SAR
66%
18%
15%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aldosivi II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
ALD
0 - 2
CAU
39%
25%
36%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
ALD
1 - 2
GLP
25%
23%
52%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
VEL
2 - 1
ALD
64%
20%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
ALD
2 - 1
GOC
49%
23%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
HUR
4 - 1
ALD
64%
20%
16%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |