Torneo Regional Federal Amateur 1/32
Global 8-2
Sarmiento Leones vs Barrio Argentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 1
CUA
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 0
AFV
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 8 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
CAA
2 - 1
SAR
46%
26%
29%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AFV
0 - 1
SAR
14%
21%
66%
|
31 | 6 | 25 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 2
CAA
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Barrio Argentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
FVU
0 - 4
BAR
18%
20%
62%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
SMV
31%
22%
47%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
AMT
1 - 1
BAR
48%
21%
31%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SMV
1 - 0
BAR
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 2
AMT
51%
22%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |