Torneo Regional Federal Amateur 1/16
Global 1-0
Sarmiento Juventud Unida vs Atlético Peñaflor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
38.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento Juventud Unida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CAP
0 - 1
SJU
67%
17%
16%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SJU
1 - 0
AOR
67%
17%
16%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
TCD
0 - 1
SJU
9%
15%
76%
|
23 | 6 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AOR
0 - 0
SJU
29%
22%
49%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SJU
5 - 1
TCD
89%
8%
3%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Peñaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CAP
0 - 1
SJU
67%
17%
16%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CAP
7 - 0
VDA
87%
9%
4%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
DLB
1 - 3
CAP
39%
23%
38%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CAP
2 - 2
CAS
37%
22%
41%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VDA
2 - 3
CAP
10%
16%
74%
|
28 | 7 | 21 | 0 |