Sarmiento La Banda vs Sol de América Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
40.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+139%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
3º
3º
22
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 34 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 28 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
|
2º
|
27 | 28 |
3º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
22 | 25 |
4º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 20 |
5º
|
75% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 17 |
6º
|
55% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 16 |
7º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 14 |
8º
|
51% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 12 |
9º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 90% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 10% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento La Banda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 2
SAR
47%
28%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
BUC
19%
25%
56%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 0
AHZ
37%
28%
35%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 0
ALP
47%
26%
26%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ALP
0 - 0
SAR
35%
31%
35%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sol de América Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SOL
1 - 0
SMA
31%
29%
41%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
SOL
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CIB
3 - 1
SOL
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SOL
2 - 0
9DJ
37%
28%
35%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BUC
1 - 1
SOL
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |